At a time when different elements of the nation are reporting each day Covid case counts in double digits, Kerala has been persistently clocking over 10,000 circumstances on a regular basis.
The southern state, which has been lauded prior to now for its finest practices in Covid administration, is now contributing about 40 per cent of optimistic circumstances within the nation each day.
Within the week that ended Sunday, Kerala reported 1,10,593 circumstances with a mean positivity price of 11 per cent.
Scholar chief Eric Stephen went on protest quick for eight days in Thiruvananthapuram to protest APJ Abdul Kalam Technical College’s choice to carry offline exams for about 2.5 lakh college students. Over 35 college students are reported to have examined optimistic after the exams.
“Take a look at positivity price is excessive and rising… Many college students examined optimistic as a result of this and I blame the chief minister’s administration for this,” he mentioned. “They wish to present every little thing is regular, so they’re insisting on offline exams whereas the state of affairs is way from that.”
Although the the state is vaccinating at a price a lot quicker than the remainder of the nation, its sero-positivity determine is decrease.
About 20.9 per cent of the 18 + inhabitants in Kerala has acquired each photographs of the Covid vaccine, a lot increased than the nationwide common of 9.9 per cent. The fourth ICMR sero-survey, nonetheless, exhibits that solely 42.7 per cent of the state’s inhabitants has antibodies — the nationwide common is 67.6 per cent.
Well being economist Rijo M John has a proof. “Kerala nonetheless has a bigger % of popn unexposed to the virus in comparison with India. This can be as a result of comparatively higher compliance with masking & social distancing regardless of excessive inhabitants density,” he tweeted.
Dr Santosh Kumar, Deputy Superintendent of Authorities Medical Faculty, Thiruvananthapuram, says it’s maybe time to have a look at a brand new composite index to know the place we’re within the pandemic.
“TPR has been between 10-12 for the final 6 weeks, on a regular basis, 10,000-15000 circumstances, progressively rising. Whole circumstances over one lakh. However hospitalisation… for instance, in Thiruvananthapuram medical faculty, it was 800-1000 however now it has lowered to 250-300. It is a vital lower.”
“If you happen to see occupancy of beds throughout Kerala, lower than 50 per cent. ventilator 50 per cent, ICU additionally 50 per cent occupancy. What we really feel is the impact of vaccination is exhibiting. So extra sufferers are in domiciliary care than is hospitals.”
Kerala Well being Minister Veena George informed IHNS that the Covid numbers the state is reporting just isn’t surprising.
She mentioned an identical pattern was seen within the first wave too and termed the phenomenon “dragging the wave”.
“The second wave began in our state by the center of April. We had our peak on Could 12 — that was round 43,000 circumstances on a single day. It was fairly anticipated in our technique. We have now all the time tried to maintain the variety of circumstances under the state’s healthcare capability threshold…We tried to delay the height and now we are attempting to tug the curve,” she mentioned.
The well being minister identified particular challenges in Kerala like excessive density of inhabitants — nearly double the nationwide common –, enormous proportion of senior residents and excessive price of diabetes.
The fear although is that extra transmission, even when not too many circumstances turn into extreme, might result in extra variants. So consultants say extra genomic surveillance is important.